Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate heavy rainfall and thunderstorms expected over Lucknow on September 24–25, driven by an active monsoon system with high humidity levels above 80% and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in the 22–24°C range, consistent with historical September baselines near 23°C during unsettled weather. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds, particularly whether enhanced cloud cover and precipitation will push the low toward or below 22°C versus slightly warmer outcomes near 24–25°C if rain timing shifts. Upcoming IMD updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 25?
27°C or higher 98%
17°C or below 50%
22°C 44%
23°C 44%
17°C or below
50%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
98%
27°C or higher 98%
17°C or below 50%
22°C 44%
23°C 44%
17°C or below
50%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate heavy rainfall and thunderstorms expected over Lucknow on September 24–25, driven by an active monsoon system with high humidity levels above 80% and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in the 22–24°C range, consistent with historical September baselines near 23°C during unsettled weather. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds, particularly whether enhanced cloud cover and precipitation will push the low toward or below 22°C versus slightly warmer outcomes near 24–25°C if rain timing shifts. Upcoming IMD updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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