Recent model runs from ECMWF and AEMET indicate overnight lows in Madrid near 15–17°C on August 26, driven by a shift to more Atlantic-influenced flow with increased cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds limiting radiational cooling under clear skies. This follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, though no strong cold advection is expected. Ensemble spread in temperature guidance creates genuine uncertainty around exact minima, with urban heat-island effects and local topography adding variability to official station readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts and any late adjustments to steering patterns will likely determine whether the lowest temperature settles near 14°C or holds above 17°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 26?
14°C or below 69%
24°C or higher 53%
15°C 44%
19°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
69%
15°C
44%
16°C
29%
17°C
30%
18°C
26%
19°C
44%
20°C
2%
21°C
30%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
53%
14°C or below 69%
24°C or higher 53%
15°C 44%
19°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
69%
15°C
$0 Обс.
44%
16°C
$0 Обс.
29%
17°C
$0 Обс.
30%
18°C
$0 Обс.
26%
19°C
$0 Обс.
44%
20°C
$0 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
30%
22°C
$0 Обс.
20%
23°C
$0 Обс.
20%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF and AEMET indicate overnight lows in Madrid near 15–17°C on August 26, driven by a shift to more Atlantic-influenced flow with increased cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds limiting radiational cooling under clear skies. This follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, though no strong cold advection is expected. Ensemble spread in temperature guidance creates genuine uncertainty around exact minima, with urban heat-island effects and local topography adding variability to official station readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts and any late adjustments to steering patterns will likely determine whether the lowest temperature settles near 14°C or holds above 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF and AEMET indicate overnight lows in Madrid near 15–17°C on August 26, driven by a shift to more Atlantic-influenced flow with increased cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds limiting radiational cooling under clear skies. This follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, though no strong cold advection is expected. Ensemble spread in temperature guidance creates genuine uncertainty around exact minima, with urban heat-island effects and local topography adding variability to official station readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts and any late adjustments to steering patterns will likely determine whether the lowest temperature settles near 14°C or holds above 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from ECMWF and AEMET indicate overnight lows in Madrid near 15–17°C on August 26, driven by a shift to more Atlantic-influenced flow with increased cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds limiting radiational cooling under clear skies. This follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, though no strong cold advection is expected. Ensemble spread in temperature guidance creates genuine uncertainty around exact minima, with urban heat-island effects and local topography adding variability to official station readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts and any late adjustments to steering patterns will likely determine whether the lowest temperature settles near 14°C or holds above 17°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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