The closely matched market probabilities around 11–13°C for Mexico City’s August 23 low reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum driven by high-elevation effects at roughly 2,240 meters and variable nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations emphasize that radiative heat loss accelerates on clear, calm nights while urban heat-island effects and light winds can raise readings by 1–2°C; recent model runs showed modest disagreement on cloud cover and a weak cold-air intrusion that could tip the outcome. Historical August minima average near 11–12°C, underscoring how small shifts in humidity or wind speed differentiate these thresholds ahead of final data confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
11°C 94%
12°C 88%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$2,563 Обс.
$2,563 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
94%
12°C
88%
13°C
-
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 94%
12°C 88%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$2,563 Обс.
$2,563 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
$191 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$140 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$23 Обс.
94%
12°C
$40 Обс.
88%
13°C
$496 Обс.
-
14°C
$591 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$388 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$158 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$171 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$174 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$190 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market probabilities around 11–13°C for Mexico City’s August 23 low reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum driven by high-elevation effects at roughly 2,240 meters and variable nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations emphasize that radiative heat loss accelerates on clear, calm nights while urban heat-island effects and light winds can raise readings by 1–2°C; recent model runs showed modest disagreement on cloud cover and a weak cold-air intrusion that could tip the outcome. Historical August minima average near 11–12°C, underscoring how small shifts in humidity or wind speed differentiate these thresholds ahead of final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,563Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market probabilities around 11–13°C for Mexico City’s August 23 low reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum driven by high-elevation effects at roughly 2,240 meters and variable nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations emphasize that radiative heat loss accelerates on clear, calm nights while urban heat-island effects and light winds can raise readings by 1–2°C; recent model runs showed modest disagreement on cloud cover and a weak cold-air intrusion that could tip the outcome. Historical August minima average near 11–12°C, underscoring how small shifts in humidity or wind speed differentiate these thresholds ahead of final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,563Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market probabilities around 11–13°C for Mexico City’s August 23 low reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum driven by high-elevation effects at roughly 2,240 meters and variable nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations emphasize that radiative heat loss accelerates on clear, calm nights while urban heat-island effects and light winds can raise readings by 1–2°C; recent model runs showed modest disagreement on cloud cover and a weak cold-air intrusion that could tip the outcome. Historical August minima average near 11–12°C, underscoring how small shifts in humidity or wind speed differentiate these thresholds ahead of final data confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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