**Forecast models for Munich on September 26 project a daytime high near 23–24°C followed by clear or mostly clear skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling that drives the daily minimum into the 5–8°C range.** This setup creates a tight contest in the market between sub-freezing outcomes (50.0% implied) and readings of 10°C or higher (49.0%), with individual temperatures from 1–9°C each carrying roughly 19.5–20% probability. Late-September climatology in southern Bavaria features increasing nocturnal cooling under high pressure, where minimal cloud cover and light winds allow surface temperatures to drop several degrees below the daily average low of 8.9°C; however, current model consensus and recent pattern persistence point away from extremes near 0°C or above 10°C. Updated runs from agencies such as DWD and ECMWF will refine the exact overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 26?
10°C or higher 98%
2°C 40%
3°C 40%
1°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 26, 2026
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
39%
2°C
40%
3°C
40%
4°C
38%
5°C
38%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C or higher
98%
10°C or higher 98%
2°C 40%
3°C 40%
1°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 26, 2026
0°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
1°C
$0 Обс.
39%
2°C
$0 Обс.
40%
3°C
$0 Обс.
40%
4°C
$0 Обс.
38%
5°C
$0 Обс.
38%
6°C
$0 Обс.
38%
7°C
$0 Обс.
38%
8°C
$0 Обс.
39%
9°C
$0 Обс.
39%
10°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Munich on September 26 project a daytime high near 23–24°C followed by clear or mostly clear skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling that drives the daily minimum into the 5–8°C range.** This setup creates a tight contest in the market between sub-freezing outcomes (50.0% implied) and readings of 10°C or higher (49.0%), with individual temperatures from 1–9°C each carrying roughly 19.5–20% probability. Late-September climatology in southern Bavaria features increasing nocturnal cooling under high pressure, where minimal cloud cover and light winds allow surface temperatures to drop several degrees below the daily average low of 8.9°C; however, current model consensus and recent pattern persistence point away from extremes near 0°C or above 10°C. Updated runs from agencies such as DWD and ECMWF will refine the exact overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Munich on September 26 project a daytime high near 23–24°C followed by clear or mostly clear skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling that drives the daily minimum into the 5–8°C range.** This setup creates a tight contest in the market between sub-freezing outcomes (50.0% implied) and readings of 10°C or higher (49.0%), with individual temperatures from 1–9°C each carrying roughly 19.5–20% probability. Late-September climatology in southern Bavaria features increasing nocturnal cooling under high pressure, where minimal cloud cover and light winds allow surface temperatures to drop several degrees below the daily average low of 8.9°C; however, current model consensus and recent pattern persistence point away from extremes near 0°C or above 10°C. Updated runs from agencies such as DWD and ECMWF will refine the exact overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...**Forecast models for Munich on September 26 project a daytime high near 23–24°C followed by clear or mostly clear skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling that drives the daily minimum into the 5–8°C range.** This setup creates a tight contest in the market between sub-freezing outcomes (50.0% implied) and readings of 10°C or higher (49.0%), with individual temperatures from 1–9°C each carrying roughly 19.5–20% probability. Late-September climatology in southern Bavaria features increasing nocturnal cooling under high pressure, where minimal cloud cover and light winds allow surface temperatures to drop several degrees below the daily average low of 8.9°C; however, current model consensus and recent pattern persistence point away from extremes near 0°C or above 10°C. Updated runs from agencies such as DWD and ECMWF will refine the exact overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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