Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a humid, unsettled air mass with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 27, keeping overnight lows elevated near 70–71°F in New York City. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect further supports minimum temperatures in this range. Forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and statistical outlooks consistently project lows around 71°F, consistent with late-August climatology when southerly flow dominates. These conditions explain why the 70–71°F bin leads market-implied odds at 37.5%, ahead of 72–73°F at 27%, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require clearer skies and drier air not currently indicated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 27?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 27?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 24%
74-75°F 21%
78°F or higher 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
12%
78°F or higher
19%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 24%
74-75°F 21%
78°F or higher 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
59°F or below
$48 Обс.
1%
60-61°F
$43 Обс.
1%
62-63°F
$27 Обс.
2%
64-65°F
$22 Обс.
2%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
9%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
5%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
39%
72-73°F
$108 Обс.
24%
74-75°F
$5 Обс.
21%
76-77°F
$5 Обс.
12%
78°F or higher
$27 Обс.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a humid, unsettled air mass with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 27, keeping overnight lows elevated near 70–71°F in New York City. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect further supports minimum temperatures in this range. Forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and statistical outlooks consistently project lows around 71°F, consistent with late-August climatology when southerly flow dominates. These conditions explain why the 70–71°F bin leads market-implied odds at 37.5%, ahead of 72–73°F at 27%, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require clearer skies and drier air not currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$285Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a humid, unsettled air mass with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 27, keeping overnight lows elevated near 70–71°F in New York City. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect further supports minimum temperatures in this range. Forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and statistical outlooks consistently project lows around 71°F, consistent with late-August climatology when southerly flow dominates. These conditions explain why the 70–71°F bin leads market-implied odds at 37.5%, ahead of 72–73°F at 27%, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require clearer skies and drier air not currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$285Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a humid, unsettled air mass with showers and thunderstorms likely on August 27, keeping overnight lows elevated near 70–71°F in New York City. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect further supports minimum temperatures in this range. Forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and statistical outlooks consistently project lows around 71°F, consistent with late-August climatology when southerly flow dominates. These conditions explain why the 70–71°F bin leads market-implied odds at 37.5%, ahead of 72–73°F at 27%, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require clearer skies and drier air not currently indicated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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