Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with seasonal averages near 67°F and supporting the tight market split between 64-65°F and 66-67°F outcomes. Clear skies and light winds promote radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, while modest humidity and a west-to-northwest flow limit further drops below 64°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with any frontal approach or increased cloud cover as the main variables that could shift the minimum into adjacent bins. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical August minima when assessing the narrow probability edge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 36%
68-69°F 24%
60-61°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
42%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
2%
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 36%
68-69°F 24%
60-61°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
$5 Обс.
1%
56-57°F
$10 Обс.
3%
58-59°F
$10 Обс.
6%
60-61°F
$5 Обс.
11%
62-63°F
$21 Обс.
6%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
36%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
42%
68-69°F
$136 Обс.
24%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
6%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
4%
74°F or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with seasonal averages near 67°F and supporting the tight market split between 64-65°F and 66-67°F outcomes. Clear skies and light winds promote radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, while modest humidity and a west-to-northwest flow limit further drops below 64°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with any frontal approach or increased cloud cover as the main variables that could shift the minimum into adjacent bins. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical August minima when assessing the narrow probability edge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$171Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with seasonal averages near 67°F and supporting the tight market split between 64-65°F and 66-67°F outcomes. Clear skies and light winds promote radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, while modest humidity and a west-to-northwest flow limit further drops below 64°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with any frontal approach or increased cloud cover as the main variables that could shift the minimum into adjacent bins. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical August minima when assessing the narrow probability edge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$171Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, aligning with seasonal averages near 67°F and supporting the tight market split between 64-65°F and 66-67°F outcomes. Clear skies and light winds promote radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, while modest humidity and a west-to-northwest flow limit further drops below 64°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with any frontal approach or increased cloud cover as the main variables that could shift the minimum into adjacent bins. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical August minima when assessing the narrow probability edge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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