Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and global models indicates overnight lows in Toronto on August 26 likely ranging 15–18°C, driven by a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers that could limit radiational cooling. This keeps 9°C-or-below and 19°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflecting model spread over whether a cooler maritime air mass or lingering warmth dominates. Historical late-August baselines show typical lows near 16°C, with variability tied to jet-stream position and cloud timing. Traders are watching updated runs from Environment Canada and ECMWF for shifts in wind patterns or precipitation that could resolve the narrow temperature bands.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on August 26?
19°C or higher 93%
9°C or below 85%
12°C 45%
10°C 41%
9°C or below
85%
10°C
41%
11°C
41%
12°C
45%
13°C
25%
14°C
23%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
25%
19°C or higher
93%
19°C or higher 93%
9°C or below 85%
12°C 45%
10°C 41%
9°C or below
85%
10°C
41%
11°C
41%
12°C
45%
13°C
25%
14°C
23%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
25%
19°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from Environment Canada and global models indicates overnight lows in Toronto on August 26 likely ranging 15–18°C, driven by a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers that could limit radiational cooling. This keeps 9°C-or-below and 19°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflecting model spread over whether a cooler maritime air mass or lingering warmth dominates. Historical late-August baselines show typical lows near 16°C, with variability tied to jet-stream position and cloud timing. Traders are watching updated runs from Environment Canada and ECMWF for shifts in wind patterns or precipitation that could resolve the narrow temperature bands.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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