Recent forecasts for Mexico City point to a typical late-summer maximum near 24–25 °C on August 26, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation that caps daytime heating and the ongoing rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently suppress peaks. Moderate El Niño conditions may subtly enhance moisture and instability, increasing the chance of scattered showers that differentiate a 24 °C outcome from 25–26 °C depending on timing and coverage. Historical August means hover around 24–25 °C, with short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and insolation creating the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities at the leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
25°C 40%
24°C 32%
26°C 17%
23°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
32%
25°C
40%
26°C
17%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 40%
24°C 32%
26°C 17%
23°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
18°C or below
$24 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$5 Обс.
1%
21°C
$29 Обс.
2%
22°C
$88 Обс.
4%
23°C
$177 Обс.
9%
24°C
$105 Обс.
32%
25°C
$967 Обс.
40%
26°C
$66 Обс.
17%
27°C
$19 Обс.
7%
28°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City point to a typical late-summer maximum near 24–25 °C on August 26, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation that caps daytime heating and the ongoing rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently suppress peaks. Moderate El Niño conditions may subtly enhance moisture and instability, increasing the chance of scattered showers that differentiate a 24 °C outcome from 25–26 °C depending on timing and coverage. Historical August means hover around 24–25 °C, with short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and insolation creating the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities at the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,449Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City point to a typical late-summer maximum near 24–25 °C on August 26, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation that caps daytime heating and the ongoing rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently suppress peaks. Moderate El Niño conditions may subtly enhance moisture and instability, increasing the chance of scattered showers that differentiate a 24 °C outcome from 25–26 °C depending on timing and coverage. Historical August means hover around 24–25 °C, with short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and insolation creating the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities at the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,449Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City point to a typical late-summer maximum near 24–25 °C on August 26, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation that caps daytime heating and the ongoing rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently suppress peaks. Moderate El Niño conditions may subtly enhance moisture and instability, increasing the chance of scattered showers that differentiate a 24 °C outcome from 25–26 °C depending on timing and coverage. Historical August means hover around 24–25 °C, with short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and insolation creating the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities at the leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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