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Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?

icon for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?

Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?

13°C 100.0%

9°C or below <1%

10°C <1%

11°C <1%

Polymarket

$2,782 Обс.

13°C 100.0%

9°C or below <1%

10°C <1%

11°C <1%

Polymarket

$2,782 Обс.

9°C or below

$48 Обс.

No

10°C

$61 Обс.

No

11°C

$35 Обс.

No

12°C

$50 Обс.

No

13°C

$660 Обс.

Yes

14°C

$107 Обс.

No

15°C

$256 Обс.

No

16°C

$55 Обс.

No

17°C

$276 Обс.

No

18°C

$50 Обс.

No

19°C or higher

$1,183 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City, including those tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a minimum temperature of 13.2°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus under clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions that permitted standard radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. This outcome reflects typical late-August patterns, where minimums often settle near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts or heavy precipitation, and trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 13°C incorporates the high reliability of surface station data used for market resolution. Uncertainties such as microclimate variations at specific reporting sites or post-event data revisions remain possible but would require atypical discrepancies beyond historical norms to shift the result.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,782
Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City, including those tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a minimum temperature of 13.2°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus under clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions that permitted standard radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. This outcome reflects typical late-August patterns, where minimums often settle near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts or heavy precipitation, and trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 13°C incorporates the high reliability of surface station data used for market resolution. Uncertainties such as microclimate variations at specific reporting sites or post-event data revisions remain possible but would require atypical discrepancies beyond historical norms to shift the result.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,782
Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «13°C» з 100%, далі «9°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 24, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?» — «13°C» з 100%. Наступний — «9°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.