Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance points to an Atlantic-driven cooling trend arriving over Paris by August 28, with southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating to around 22–24 °C while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast lows cluster between 16–18 °C, consistent with the tightly bunched market probabilities favoring 16 °C or 17 °C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any clearing skies, wind speeds (stronger gusts favor higher minima), and boundary-layer moisture; ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2 °C variation. Historical August 28 lows average near 14 °C, yet the current warm anomaly and marine air mass support the market’s central range. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 28?
19°C 66%
20°C 66%
15°C 63%
18°C 61%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
45%
13°C
20%
14°C
59%
15°C
63%
16°C
37%
17°C
36%
18°C
61%
19°C
66%
20°C
66%
21°C
59%
22°C or higher
49%
19°C 66%
20°C 66%
15°C 63%
18°C 61%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
45%
13°C
$0 Обс.
20%
14°C
$0 Обс.
59%
15°C
$0 Обс.
63%
16°C
$0 Обс.
37%
17°C
$0 Обс.
36%
18°C
$0 Обс.
61%
19°C
$0 Обс.
66%
20°C
$0 Обс.
66%
21°C
$0 Обс.
59%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance points to an Atlantic-driven cooling trend arriving over Paris by August 28, with southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating to around 22–24 °C while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast lows cluster between 16–18 °C, consistent with the tightly bunched market probabilities favoring 16 °C or 17 °C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any clearing skies, wind speeds (stronger gusts favor higher minima), and boundary-layer moisture; ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2 °C variation. Historical August 28 lows average near 14 °C, yet the current warm anomaly and marine air mass support the market’s central range. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance points to an Atlantic-driven cooling trend arriving over Paris by August 28, with southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating to around 22–24 °C while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast lows cluster between 16–18 °C, consistent with the tightly bunched market probabilities favoring 16 °C or 17 °C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any clearing skies, wind speeds (stronger gusts favor higher minima), and boundary-layer moisture; ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2 °C variation. Historical August 28 lows average near 14 °C, yet the current warm anomaly and marine air mass support the market’s central range. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance points to an Atlantic-driven cooling trend arriving over Paris by August 28, with southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating to around 22–24 °C while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast lows cluster between 16–18 °C, consistent with the tightly bunched market probabilities favoring 16 °C or 17 °C. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any clearing skies, wind speeds (stronger gusts favor higher minima), and boundary-layer moisture; ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2 °C variation. Historical August 28 lows average near 14 °C, yet the current warm anomaly and marine air mass support the market’s central range. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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