Recent short-range model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows in Paris on August 26 most likely settling between 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This consensus, following several days of above-average warmth and increasing humidity, has concentrated trader positions on the 18–20 °C outcomes while still leaving meaningful probability on cooler thresholds if clearer skies or heavier showers develop. Historical August minima average 13.7 °C, but the current pattern favors elevated values; the next 24–48 hours of forecast updates will be the key catalyst for any rebalancing ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
18°C 50%
19°C 49%
20°C 47%
17°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
37%
15°C
37%
16°C
36%
17°C
39%
18°C
50%
19°C
49%
20°C
47%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
29%
18°C 50%
19°C 49%
20°C 47%
17°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$20 Обс.
37%
15°C
$0 Обс.
37%
16°C
$0 Обс.
36%
17°C
$0 Обс.
39%
18°C
$0 Обс.
50%
19°C
$0 Обс.
49%
20°C
$0 Обс.
47%
21°C
$0 Обс.
8%
22°C
$0 Обс.
8%
23°C
$0 Обс.
8%
24°C or higher
$20 Обс.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows in Paris on August 26 most likely settling between 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This consensus, following several days of above-average warmth and increasing humidity, has concentrated trader positions on the 18–20 °C outcomes while still leaving meaningful probability on cooler thresholds if clearer skies or heavier showers develop. Historical August minima average 13.7 °C, but the current pattern favors elevated values; the next 24–48 hours of forecast updates will be the key catalyst for any rebalancing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$40Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows in Paris on August 26 most likely settling between 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This consensus, following several days of above-average warmth and increasing humidity, has concentrated trader positions on the 18–20 °C outcomes while still leaving meaningful probability on cooler thresholds if clearer skies or heavier showers develop. Historical August minima average 13.7 °C, but the current pattern favors elevated values; the next 24–48 hours of forecast updates will be the key catalyst for any rebalancing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$40Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows in Paris on August 26 most likely settling between 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This consensus, following several days of above-average warmth and increasing humidity, has concentrated trader positions on the 18–20 °C outcomes while still leaving meaningful probability on cooler thresholds if clearer skies or heavier showers develop. Historical August minima average 13.7 °C, but the current pattern favors elevated values; the next 24–48 hours of forecast updates will be the key catalyst for any rebalancing ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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