**Persistent monsoon influences and widespread cloud cover are keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Taipei elevated around the typical August baseline of 25–27°C.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models through August 22–24 project daytime highs of 26–32°C and nighttime lows generally 25–27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with frequent showers or thunderstorms. High humidity (often 90%+), elevated dew points near 25–26°C, and moderate easterly to southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling, preventing sharp drops after sunset. Model consensus shows the primary uncertainty lies in the exact timing and intensity of rain bands and any brief wind shifts, which can produce 1–2°C differences in the daily minimum. Heavier precipitation on the 24th may enhance evaporative cooling and nudge the low slightly lower in some runs (supporting the clustered probabilities near 24–26°C), while sustained cloud cover favors values closer to 27°C. Clearer breaks or stronger mixing could allow brief excursions toward 28°C, but these are viewed as less probable given the entrenched low-pressure pattern. Extremes below 23°C or above 29°C carry low market weight because they would require atypical clear-sky radiational cooling or an unexpected warm-air surge—conditions not supported by current guidance or historical August climatology for the region. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key drivers of any shifts in these tightly bunched probabilities.