**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models (ECMWF, GFS, and local observations) point to an overnight low in Tel Aviv of 24–25°C on August 26, consistent with typical late-August Mediterranean climatology of 23–26°C minima under stable high pressure.** Light westerly winds off the Mediterranean Sea will moderate radiative cooling overnight, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Dew points around 20–23°C and relative humidity rising above 80% in the pre-dawn hours support this range, with little expected variation from sea-breeze effects or frontal systems. The closely matched market-implied probabilities on extremes (20°C or below vs. 30°C or higher) versus the 24–26°C cluster reflect trader focus on small model spread in exact minimum timing and any subtle increases in cloud cover or wind that could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show August lows rarely deviate more than ±2–3°C from the mean without synoptic changes, which none are currently indicated. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will be the key near-term catalyst as the date approaches.