**Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show scattered showers and northerly flow arriving over Tokyo on September 4, 2026, with daytime highs dropping to 22–25 °C and overnight minima settling near 19–21 °C.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 85–95 %), and light rain suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low in the low 20s °C range. This pattern follows a brief warm spell and reflects an early-September transition toward more autumnal air masses. Model consensus across sources consistently points to minimum temperatures clustered between 20 °C and 22 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22 °C (29 %) and 23 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any further cooling or clearing shifts these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
23°C 41%
22°C 29%
24°C 15%
21°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
29%
23°C
41%
24°C
15%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 41%
22°C 29%
24°C 15%
21°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
19°C
$0 Обс.
1%
20°C
$65 Обс.
5%
21°C
$269 Обс.
6%
22°C
$985 Обс.
29%
23°C
$140 Обс.
41%
24°C
$279 Обс.
15%
25°C
$0 Обс.
6%
26°C
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show scattered showers and northerly flow arriving over Tokyo on September 4, 2026, with daytime highs dropping to 22–25 °C and overnight minima settling near 19–21 °C.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 85–95 %), and light rain suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low in the low 20s °C range. This pattern follows a brief warm spell and reflects an early-September transition toward more autumnal air masses. Model consensus across sources consistently points to minimum temperatures clustered between 20 °C and 22 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22 °C (29 %) and 23 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any further cooling or clearing shifts these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,738Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show scattered showers and northerly flow arriving over Tokyo on September 4, 2026, with daytime highs dropping to 22–25 °C and overnight minima settling near 19–21 °C.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 85–95 %), and light rain suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low in the low 20s °C range. This pattern follows a brief warm spell and reflects an early-September transition toward more autumnal air masses. Model consensus across sources consistently points to minimum temperatures clustered between 20 °C and 22 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22 °C (29 %) and 23 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any further cooling or clearing shifts these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,738Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show scattered showers and northerly flow arriving over Tokyo on September 4, 2026, with daytime highs dropping to 22–25 °C and overnight minima settling near 19–21 °C.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 85–95 %), and light rain suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low in the low 20s °C range. This pattern follows a brief warm spell and reflects an early-September transition toward more autumnal air masses. Model consensus across sources consistently points to minimum temperatures clustered between 20 °C and 22 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22 °C (29 %) and 23 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will determine whether any further cooling or clearing shifts these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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