French President Emmanuel Macron's presidency faces ongoing instability from a hung parliament following the 2024 snap legislative elections, resulting in multiple government collapses and no-confidence motions, including recent 2026 budget battles that his administration under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived in February. With no majority in the National Assembly, coalition negotiations remain fragile, raising risks of dissolution or further votes of no confidence. Macron, constitutionally barred from a third term, plans to serve until his May 2027 term end amid active international diplomacy on issues like the Strait of Hormuz and France's 2026 G7 presidency. Absent new fiscal crises or scandals, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of early exit, though scheduled parliamentary sessions could shift dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,908,262 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
30 червня 2026 року
2%
$1,908,262 Обс.
30 червня 2026 року
$316,422 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's presidency faces ongoing instability from a hung parliament following the 2024 snap legislative elections, resulting in multiple government collapses and no-confidence motions, including recent 2026 budget battles that his administration under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived in February. With no majority in the National Assembly, coalition negotiations remain fragile, raising risks of dissolution or further votes of no confidence. Macron, constitutionally barred from a third term, plans to serve until his May 2027 term end amid active international diplomacy on issues like the Strait of Hormuz and France's 2026 G7 presidency. Absent new fiscal crises or scandals, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of early exit, though scheduled parliamentary sessions could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,908,262Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's presidency faces ongoing instability from a hung parliament following the 2024 snap legislative elections, resulting in multiple government collapses and no-confidence motions, including recent 2026 budget battles that his administration under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived in February. With no majority in the National Assembly, coalition negotiations remain fragile, raising risks of dissolution or further votes of no confidence. Macron, constitutionally barred from a third term, plans to serve until his May 2027 term end amid active international diplomacy on issues like the Strait of Hormuz and France's 2026 G7 presidency. Absent new fiscal crises or scandals, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of early exit, though scheduled parliamentary sessions could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$1,908,262Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron's presidency faces ongoing instability from a hung parliament following the 2024 snap legislative elections, resulting in multiple government collapses and no-confidence motions, including recent 2026 budget battles that his administration under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived in February. With no majority in the National Assembly, coalition negotiations remain fragile, raising risks of dissolution or further votes of no confidence. Macron, constitutionally barred from a third term, plans to serve until his May 2027 term end amid active international diplomacy on issues like the Strait of Hormuz and France's 2026 G7 presidency. Absent new fiscal crises or scandals, trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of early exit, though scheduled parliamentary sessions could shift dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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