Traders assign Morena the highest probability at 75 percent for winning Mexico’s next legislative election, driven by the party’s sustained voter base after its 2024 gains and the current administration’s control of the executive. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval ratings and policy continuity continue to anchor support for Morena-aligned candidates in the Chamber of Deputies race. PVEM’s 22.5 percent odds reflect its established coalition ties, while PRI, PAN, MC, and PT remain in the 11–15.5 percent range amid ongoing efforts to consolidate opposition votes ahead of the 2027 contest. Recent polling trends and state-level organizing reinforce these relative positions without major shifts in the past month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMorena 89%
PAN 21%
PT 19%
PVEM 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
21%
PRI
16%
PT
19%
PVEM
17%
MC
13%
Morena
78%
Morena 89%
PAN 21%
PT 19%
PVEM 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
$29 Обс.
21%
PRI
$29 Обс.
16%
PT
$29 Обс.
19%
PVEM
$29 Обс.
17%
MC
$29 Обс.
13%
Morena
$40 Обс.
78%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders assign Morena the highest probability at 75 percent for winning Mexico’s next legislative election, driven by the party’s sustained voter base after its 2024 gains and the current administration’s control of the executive. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval ratings and policy continuity continue to anchor support for Morena-aligned candidates in the Chamber of Deputies race. PVEM’s 22.5 percent odds reflect its established coalition ties, while PRI, PAN, MC, and PT remain in the 11–15.5 percent range amid ongoing efforts to consolidate opposition votes ahead of the 2027 contest. Recent polling trends and state-level organizing reinforce these relative positions without major shifts in the past month.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$187Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders assign Morena the highest probability at 75 percent for winning Mexico’s next legislative election, driven by the party’s sustained voter base after its 2024 gains and the current administration’s control of the executive. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval ratings and policy continuity continue to anchor support for Morena-aligned candidates in the Chamber of Deputies race. PVEM’s 22.5 percent odds reflect its established coalition ties, while PRI, PAN, MC, and PT remain in the 11–15.5 percent range amid ongoing efforts to consolidate opposition votes ahead of the 2027 contest. Recent polling trends and state-level organizing reinforce these relative positions without major shifts in the past month.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Обсяг
$187Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Morena the highest probability at 75 percent for winning Mexico’s next legislative election, driven by the party’s sustained voter base after its 2024 gains and the current administration’s control of the executive. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval ratings and policy continuity continue to anchor support for Morena-aligned candidates in the Chamber of Deputies race. PVEM’s 22.5 percent odds reflect its established coalition ties, while PRI, PAN, MC, and PT remain in the 11–15.5 percent range amid ongoing efforts to consolidate opposition votes ahead of the 2027 contest. Recent polling trends and state-level organizing reinforce these relative positions without major shifts in the past month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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