The 2026 Northern Nalšia District by-election, set for November 8 following the death of incumbent Jevgenij Šuklin, features a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates from major Lithuanian parties and independents. Trader consensus shows Gintautas Kindurys (LVŽS) and Vladislav Kondratovič (LSDP) as slight frontrunners amid closely matched probabilities, reflecting the district’s mixed electorate across Ignalina and Visaginas. Limited early campaigning, local issues such as regional development and energy policy, and historical patterns of split votes in single-mandate seats keep the outcome uncertain. Upcoming candidate nominations, party endorsements, and any shifts in national polling could widen gaps before polling day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNorthern Nalšia District By-Election Winner
Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner
Gintautas Kindurys 48%
Nikolajus Lebedevičius 42%
Dalia Štraupaitė 38%
Antanas Šakalis 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 8, 2026
Gintautas Kindurys
48%
Nikolajus Lebedevičius
42%
Dalia Štraupaitė
38%
Antanas Šakalis
36%
Viktor Voronin
33%
Vladislav Kondratovič
30%
Ignotas Adomavičius
26%
Andrej Šildiajėv
10%
Giedrius Dainys
10%
Mėta Palauskaitė
9%
Maksimas Paukštė
8%
Gintautas Kindurys 48%
Nikolajus Lebedevičius 42%
Dalia Štraupaitė 38%
Antanas Šakalis 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 8, 2026
Gintautas Kindurys
$64 Обс.
48%
Nikolajus Lebedevičius
$64 Обс.
42%
Dalia Štraupaitė
$64 Обс.
38%
Antanas Šakalis
$64 Обс.
36%
Viktor Voronin
$64 Обс.
33%
Vladislav Kondratovič
$84 Обс.
30%
Ignotas Adomavičius
$64 Обс.
26%
Andrej Šildiajėv
$64 Обс.
10%
Giedrius Dainys
$39 Обс.
10%
Mėta Palauskaitė
$64 Обс.
9%
Maksimas Paukštė
$64 Обс.
8%
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.
If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).The 2026 Northern Nalšia District by-election, set for November 8 following the death of incumbent Jevgenij Šuklin, features a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates from major Lithuanian parties and independents. Trader consensus shows Gintautas Kindurys (LVŽS) and Vladislav Kondratovič (LSDP) as slight frontrunners amid closely matched probabilities, reflecting the district’s mixed electorate across Ignalina and Visaginas. Limited early campaigning, local issues such as regional development and energy policy, and historical patterns of split votes in single-mandate seats keep the outcome uncertain. Upcoming candidate nominations, party endorsements, and any shifts in national polling could widen gaps before polling day.
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.
If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.
If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$699Дата завершення
Nov 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.
If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).The 2026 Northern Nalšia District by-election, set for November 8 following the death of incumbent Jevgenij Šuklin, features a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates from major Lithuanian parties and independents. Trader consensus shows Gintautas Kindurys (LVŽS) and Vladislav Kondratovič (LSDP) as slight frontrunners amid closely matched probabilities, reflecting the district’s mixed electorate across Ignalina and Visaginas. Limited early campaigning, local issues such as regional development and energy policy, and historical patterns of split votes in single-mandate seats keep the outcome uncertain. Upcoming candidate nominations, party endorsements, and any shifts in national polling could widen gaps before polling day.
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.
If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.
If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
Обсяг
$699Дата завершення
Nov 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...The 2026 Northern Nalšia District by-election, set for November 8 following the death of incumbent Jevgenij Šuklin, features a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates from major Lithuanian parties and independents. Trader consensus shows Gintautas Kindurys (LVŽS) and Vladislav Kondratovič (LSDP) as slight frontrunners amid closely matched probabilities, reflecting the district’s mixed electorate across Ignalina and Visaginas. Limited early campaigning, local issues such as regional development and energy policy, and historical patterns of split votes in single-mandate seats keep the outcome uncertain. Upcoming candidate nominations, party endorsements, and any shifts in national polling could widen gaps before polling day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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