Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting that none of the six specific triggers— Iranian regime collapse, Federal Reserve rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act enactment, or both James Talarico and John Cornyn securing Texas U.S. Senate nominations—have occurred despite tense developments. U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted thousands of Iranian sites under Operation Epic Fury, yet U.S. intelligence assesses the regime as degraded but intact, with no institutional fall. The March 18 FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid oil-driven inflation. Massive No Kings protests drew millions on March 28 without federal military deployment, SAVE Act stalled on Senate filibuster, and Texas Senate primaries advanced Talarico as Democratic nominee while forcing Cornyn into a May runoff. With the March 31 deadline passed and no qualifying events confirmed, traders anticipate resolution to "Nothing" barring late oracle disputes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNothing
$331,883 Обс.
$331,883 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
Nothing
$331,883 Обс.
$331,883 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting that none of the six specific triggers— Iranian regime collapse, Federal Reserve rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act enactment, or both James Talarico and John Cornyn securing Texas U.S. Senate nominations—have occurred despite tense developments. U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted thousands of Iranian sites under Operation Epic Fury, yet U.S. intelligence assesses the regime as degraded but intact, with no institutional fall. The March 18 FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid oil-driven inflation. Massive No Kings protests drew millions on March 28 without federal military deployment, SAVE Act stalled on Senate filibuster, and Texas Senate primaries advanced Talarico as Democratic nominee while forcing Cornyn into a May runoff. With the March 31 deadline passed and no qualifying events confirmed, traders anticipate resolution to "Nothing" barring late oracle disputes.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$331,883Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting that none of the six specific triggers— Iranian regime collapse, Federal Reserve rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act enactment, or both James Talarico and John Cornyn securing Texas U.S. Senate nominations—have occurred despite tense developments. U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted thousands of Iranian sites under Operation Epic Fury, yet U.S. intelligence assesses the regime as degraded but intact, with no institutional fall. The March 18 FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid oil-driven inflation. Massive No Kings protests drew millions on March 28 without federal military deployment, SAVE Act stalled on Senate filibuster, and Texas Senate primaries advanced Talarico as Democratic nominee while forcing Cornyn into a May runoff. With the March 31 deadline passed and no qualifying events confirmed, traders anticipate resolution to "Nothing" barring late oracle disputes.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Обсяг
$331,883Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting that none of the six specific triggers— Iranian regime collapse, Federal Reserve rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act enactment, or both James Talarico and John Cornyn securing Texas U.S. Senate nominations—have occurred despite tense developments. U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted thousands of Iranian sites under Operation Epic Fury, yet U.S. intelligence assesses the regime as degraded but intact, with no institutional fall. The March 18 FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid oil-driven inflation. Massive No Kings protests drew millions on March 28 without federal military deployment, SAVE Act stalled on Senate filibuster, and Texas Senate primaries advanced Talarico as Democratic nominee while forcing Cornyn into a May runoff. With the March 31 deadline passed and no qualifying events confirmed, traders anticipate resolution to "Nothing" barring late oracle disputes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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