Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, driven by consistent leads in recent polls such as Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, where he registers 21-40% support against fragmented fields. As the term-limited former governor from a prominent political family, his MDB base, cross-party alliances, and name recognition in the state underpin the frontrunner status reflected in trader pricing. The October 2026 vote remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could narrow the gap include consolidated opposition support behind names like Éder Mauro (PL) or Zequinha Marinho, late shifts in alliances, or turnout changes among key voter blocs, though current evidence shows limited movement in these areas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHelder 91%
Gizelle Freitas 2.5%
Celso Sabino 2.1%
Breno Guimarães 2.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
91%
Gizelle Freitas
2%
Celso Sabino
2%
Breno Guimarães
11%
Conti
2%
Chicão
2%
Zequinha Marinho
2%
Delegado Éder Mauro
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Edlaine Rodrigues
16%
Willem da Silva
1%
Helder 91%
Gizelle Freitas 2.5%
Celso Sabino 2.1%
Breno Guimarães 2.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$1,022 Обс.
91%
Gizelle Freitas
$330 Обс.
2%
Celso Sabino
$287 Обс.
2%
Breno Guimarães
$342 Обс.
11%
Conti
$350 Обс.
2%
Chicão
$286 Обс.
2%
Zequinha Marinho
$287 Обс.
2%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$293 Обс.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$327 Обс.
1%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$307 Обс.
16%
Willem da Silva
$339 Обс.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, driven by consistent leads in recent polls such as Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, where he registers 21-40% support against fragmented fields. As the term-limited former governor from a prominent political family, his MDB base, cross-party alliances, and name recognition in the state underpin the frontrunner status reflected in trader pricing. The October 2026 vote remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could narrow the gap include consolidated opposition support behind names like Éder Mauro (PL) or Zequinha Marinho, late shifts in alliances, or turnout changes among key voter blocs, though current evidence shows limited movement in these areas.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,170Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, driven by consistent leads in recent polls such as Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, where he registers 21-40% support against fragmented fields. As the term-limited former governor from a prominent political family, his MDB base, cross-party alliances, and name recognition in the state underpin the frontrunner status reflected in trader pricing. The October 2026 vote remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could narrow the gap include consolidated opposition support behind names like Éder Mauro (PL) or Zequinha Marinho, late shifts in alliances, or turnout changes among key voter blocs, though current evidence shows limited movement in these areas.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$4,170Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for one of the two seats, driven by consistent leads in recent polls such as Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, where he registers 21-40% support against fragmented fields. As the term-limited former governor from a prominent political family, his MDB base, cross-party alliances, and name recognition in the state underpin the frontrunner status reflected in trader pricing. The October 2026 vote remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could narrow the gap include consolidated opposition support behind names like Éder Mauro (PL) or Zequinha Marinho, late shifts in alliances, or turnout changes among key voter blocs, though current evidence shows limited movement in these areas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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