Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоConti 45%
Fernanda Lopes 45%
Breno Guimarães 44%
Willem da Silva 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Conti
45%
Fernanda Lopes
45%
Breno Guimarães
44%
Willem da Silva
44%
Delegado Éder Mauro
44%
Edlaine Rodrigues
44%
Gizelle Freitas
44%
Celso Sabino
44%
Chicão
43%
Zequinha Marinho
43%
Helder
42%
Conti 45%
Fernanda Lopes 45%
Breno Guimarães 44%
Willem da Silva 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Conti
$0 Обс.
45%
Fernanda Lopes
$0 Обс.
45%
Breno Guimarães
$0 Обс.
44%
Willem da Silva
$0 Обс.
44%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$0 Обс.
44%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$0 Обс.
44%
Gizelle Freitas
$0 Обс.
44%
Celso Sabino
$0 Обс.
44%
Chicão
$0 Обс.
43%
Zequinha Marinho
$0 Обс.
43%
Helder
$0 Обс.
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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