Pernambuco's October 2026 Senate contest features an unusually open field for the two seats, with party switches, incumbent reelection bids, and a crowded list of pre-candidates preventing any single frontrunner from consolidating support. Recent polling from April to June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading some scenarios but facing tight competition from Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Miguel Coelho (União Brasil), and others, with margins often within single digits or statistical ties. This fragmentation, combined with undecided voters and shifting alliances ahead of the first-round vote, sustains trader consensus near even odds across numerous names, as small swings in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the top finishers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMailson da Silva Neto 44%
Mariano Macedo 44%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
Samuel Timoteo 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Mailson da Silva Neto
44%
Mariano Macedo
44%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
44%
Samuel Timoteo
44%
Túlio Gadêlha
44%
Marília Arraes
44%
Mendonça Filho
44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
44%
Humberto Costa
44%
Gorett Bitu
41%
Carlos Sant'Anna
41%
Eduardo da Fonte
41%
Mailson da Silva Neto 44%
Mariano Macedo 44%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
Samuel Timoteo 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 Обс.
44%
Mariano Macedo
$0 Обс.
44%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$0 Обс.
44%
Samuel Timoteo
$0 Обс.
44%
Túlio Gadêlha
$0 Обс.
44%
Marília Arraes
$0 Обс.
44%
Mendonça Filho
$0 Обс.
44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$0 Обс.
44%
Humberto Costa
$0 Обс.
44%
Gorett Bitu
$0 Обс.
41%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$0 Обс.
41%
Eduardo da Fonte
$0 Обс.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Pernambuco's October 2026 Senate contest features an unusually open field for the two seats, with party switches, incumbent reelection bids, and a crowded list of pre-candidates preventing any single frontrunner from consolidating support. Recent polling from April to June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading some scenarios but facing tight competition from Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Miguel Coelho (União Brasil), and others, with margins often within single digits or statistical ties. This fragmentation, combined with undecided voters and shifting alliances ahead of the first-round vote, sustains trader consensus near even odds across numerous names, as small swings in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the top finishers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Pernambuco's October 2026 Senate contest features an unusually open field for the two seats, with party switches, incumbent reelection bids, and a crowded list of pre-candidates preventing any single frontrunner from consolidating support. Recent polling from April to June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading some scenarios but facing tight competition from Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Miguel Coelho (União Brasil), and others, with margins often within single digits or statistical ties. This fragmentation, combined with undecided voters and shifting alliances ahead of the first-round vote, sustains trader consensus near even odds across numerous names, as small swings in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the top finishers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pernambuco's October 2026 Senate contest features an unusually open field for the two seats, with party switches, incumbent reelection bids, and a crowded list of pre-candidates preventing any single frontrunner from consolidating support. Recent polling from April to June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading some scenarios but facing tight competition from Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Miguel Coelho (União Brasil), and others, with margins often within single digits or statistical ties. This fragmentation, combined with undecided voters and shifting alliances ahead of the first-round vote, sustains trader consensus near even odds across numerous names, as small swings in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the top finishers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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