Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 delivered a supermajority to opposition leader Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, prompting Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years as prime minister and end Fidesz's dominance. With over 98% of votes counted confirming Tisza's projected 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly, traders price a 99.1% implied probability of Orbán exiting office by December 31, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on swift government formation. As caretaker prime minister until the new administration is sworn in next month, his departure appears inevitable barring extraordinary reversals like successful election challenges or unprecedented constitutional crises, both deemed highly improbable given the landslide margin and lack of disputes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
$165,512 Обс.
$165,512 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$165,512 Обс.
$165,512 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 delivered a supermajority to opposition leader Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, prompting Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years as prime minister and end Fidesz's dominance. With over 98% of votes counted confirming Tisza's projected 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly, traders price a 99.1% implied probability of Orbán exiting office by December 31, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on swift government formation. As caretaker prime minister until the new administration is sworn in next month, his departure appears inevitable barring extraordinary reversals like successful election challenges or unprecedented constitutional crises, both deemed highly improbable given the landslide margin and lack of disputes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$165,512Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 delivered a supermajority to opposition leader Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, prompting Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years as prime minister and end Fidesz's dominance. With over 98% of votes counted confirming Tisza's projected 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly, traders price a 99.1% implied probability of Orbán exiting office by December 31, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on swift government formation. As caretaker prime minister until the new administration is sworn in next month, his departure appears inevitable barring extraordinary reversals like successful election challenges or unprecedented constitutional crises, both deemed highly improbable given the landslide margin and lack of disputes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$165,512Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 delivered a supermajority to opposition leader Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, prompting Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years as prime minister and end Fidesz's dominance. With over 98% of votes counted confirming Tisza's projected 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly, traders price a 99.1% implied probability of Orbán exiting office by December 31, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on swift government formation. As caretaker prime minister until the new administration is sworn in next month, his departure appears inevitable barring extraordinary reversals like successful election challenges or unprecedented constitutional crises, both deemed highly improbable given the landslide margin and lack of disputes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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