Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$3,726 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
April 30
No
May 15
No
May 31
No
$3,726 KL.
April 30
$178 KL.
No
May 15
$1,436 KL.
No
May 31
$2,112 KL.
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,726Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$3,726Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp