Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads the Colima governor election market at 81 percent after Morena designated her coordinator of the Defensa de la Transformación in August 2026, following her registration in the June internal process alongside Griselda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. The move, backed by incumbent governor Indira Vizcaíno, positions Bayardo as the presumptive nominee for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition ahead of the June 2027 vote. Earlier 2026 surveys showed her ahead in Morena preferences and the party holding a statewide edge near 34 percent. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN) and Mely Romero Celis (PRI) trail at single-digit probabilities, reflecting the coalition’s structural advantage and the absence of consolidated challengers this far from election day. Trader pricing incorporates these internal and polling signals while noting that formal candidacies and alliances remain subject to later confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 8.0%
Joel Padilla Peña 4.3%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 3.9%
$37,347 KL.
$37,347 KL.
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%
Joel Padilla Peña
4%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
4%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
3%
Margarita Moreno González
3%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
José Israel González
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 8.0%
Joel Padilla Peña 4.3%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 3.9%
$37,347 KL.
$37,347 KL.
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%
Joel Padilla Peña
4%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
4%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
3%
Margarita Moreno González
3%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
José Israel González
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads the Colima governor election market at 81 percent after Morena designated her coordinator of the Defensa de la Transformación in August 2026, following her registration in the June internal process alongside Griselda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. The move, backed by incumbent governor Indira Vizcaíno, positions Bayardo as the presumptive nominee for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition ahead of the June 2027 vote. Earlier 2026 surveys showed her ahead in Morena preferences and the party holding a statewide edge near 34 percent. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN) and Mely Romero Celis (PRI) trail at single-digit probabilities, reflecting the coalition’s structural advantage and the absence of consolidated challengers this far from election day. Trader pricing incorporates these internal and polling signals while noting that formal candidacies and alliances remain subject to later confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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