Morena maintains a dominant position in Guerrero heading into the 2027 gubernatorial election, with party identification near 50-60% in recent surveys, far ahead of the PRI and smaller parties. Beatriz Mojica Morga leads Morena internal preferences at roughly 33% in mid-2026 polling, ahead of Esthela Damián Peralta, reflecting stronger name recognition and opinion balances, while Manuel Añorve Baños tops PRI options. Trader consensus shows these two as the closest contenders because nomination processes remain fluid, opposition support is fragmented across multiple parties, and a large share of voters stay undecided more than a year out. Shifts in Morena's candidate selection or broader coalition dynamics could widen separations before voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBeatriz Mojica Morga 33.8%
Esthela Damián Peralta 29.6%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.5%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.2%
$23,667 KL.
$23,667 KL.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
34%
Esthela Damián Peralta
30%
Mario Moreno Arcos
5%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
2%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 33.8%
Esthela Damián Peralta 29.6%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.5%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.2%
$23,667 KL.
$23,667 KL.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
34%
Esthela Damián Peralta
30%
Mario Moreno Arcos
5%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
2%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a dominant position in Guerrero heading into the 2027 gubernatorial election, with party identification near 50-60% in recent surveys, far ahead of the PRI and smaller parties. Beatriz Mojica Morga leads Morena internal preferences at roughly 33% in mid-2026 polling, ahead of Esthela Damián Peralta, reflecting stronger name recognition and opinion balances, while Manuel Añorve Baños tops PRI options. Trader consensus shows these two as the closest contenders because nomination processes remain fluid, opposition support is fragmented across multiple parties, and a large share of voters stay undecided more than a year out. Shifts in Morena's candidate selection or broader coalition dynamics could widen separations before voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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