Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him as a heavy favorite against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent polling throughout summer 2026 shows Shapiro leading by double digits, with averages near 53% to 36%, driven by his incumbency, solid job approval ratings around 56-60% including crossover support, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $16 million. Both candidates secured their nominations unopposed in the May primaries, leaving limited early volatility. Garrity faces challenges from lower visibility and favorability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic sentiment, or unexpected turnout changes in this swing state ahead of the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
$49,106 KL.
$49,106 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
2%
$49,106 KL.
$49,106 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$7,465 KL.
96%
Republican
$41,640 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him as a heavy favorite against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent polling throughout summer 2026 shows Shapiro leading by double digits, with averages near 53% to 36%, driven by his incumbency, solid job approval ratings around 56-60% including crossover support, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $16 million. Both candidates secured their nominations unopposed in the May primaries, leaving limited early volatility. Garrity faces challenges from lower visibility and favorability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic sentiment, or unexpected turnout changes in this swing state ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$49,106Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him as a heavy favorite against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent polling throughout summer 2026 shows Shapiro leading by double digits, with averages near 53% to 36%, driven by his incumbency, solid job approval ratings around 56-60% including crossover support, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $16 million. Both candidates secured their nominations unopposed in the May primaries, leaving limited early volatility. Garrity faces challenges from lower visibility and favorability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic sentiment, or unexpected turnout changes in this swing state ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$49,106Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him as a heavy favorite against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent polling throughout summer 2026 shows Shapiro leading by double digits, with averages near 53% to 36%, driven by his incumbency, solid job approval ratings around 56-60% including crossover support, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $16 million. Both candidates secured their nominations unopposed in the May primaries, leaving limited early volatility. Garrity faces challenges from lower visibility and favorability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic sentiment, or unexpected turnout changes in this swing state ahead of the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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