Trader consensus prices no change in the federal funds rate at the September 2026 FOMC meeting as the leading outcome, reflecting incoming data that continue to show inflation measures such as core PCE and CPI tracking close to the 2 percent target alongside steady employment reports and moderate GDP growth. Recent labor-market releases and inflation prints through mid-June have eased pressure for immediate easing or tightening, keeping probabilities for a 25 basis point move in either direction below 15 percent. Market pricing incorporates the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent approach and the limited number of meetings remaining in 2026, with any material shift in odds likely requiring a clear deviation in upcoming employment or price statistics before the decision window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo change 67%
25 bps increase 13%
25 bps decrease 11.3%
50+ bps decrease 2.6%
$318,743 KL.
$318,743 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
11%
No change
67%
25 bps increase
13%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 67%
25 bps increase 13%
25 bps decrease 11.3%
50+ bps decrease 2.6%
$318,743 KL.
$318,743 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$54,876 KL.
3%
25 bps decrease
$64,824 KL.
11%
No change
$87,312 KL.
67%
25 bps increase
$60,422 KL.
13%
50+ bps increase
$51,689 KL.
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus prices no change in the federal funds rate at the September 2026 FOMC meeting as the leading outcome, reflecting incoming data that continue to show inflation measures such as core PCE and CPI tracking close to the 2 percent target alongside steady employment reports and moderate GDP growth. Recent labor-market releases and inflation prints through mid-June have eased pressure for immediate easing or tightening, keeping probabilities for a 25 basis point move in either direction below 15 percent. Market pricing incorporates the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent approach and the limited number of meetings remaining in 2026, with any material shift in odds likely requiring a clear deviation in upcoming employment or price statistics before the decision window.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$318,743Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus prices no change in the federal funds rate at the September 2026 FOMC meeting as the leading outcome, reflecting incoming data that continue to show inflation measures such as core PCE and CPI tracking close to the 2 percent target alongside steady employment reports and moderate GDP growth. Recent labor-market releases and inflation prints through mid-June have eased pressure for immediate easing or tightening, keeping probabilities for a 25 basis point move in either direction below 15 percent. Market pricing incorporates the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent approach and the limited number of meetings remaining in 2026, with any material shift in odds likely requiring a clear deviation in upcoming employment or price statistics before the decision window.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Khối lượng
$318,743Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices no change in the federal funds rate at the September 2026 FOMC meeting as the leading outcome, reflecting incoming data that continue to show inflation measures such as core PCE and CPI tracking close to the 2 percent target alongside steady employment reports and moderate GDP growth. Recent labor-market releases and inflation prints through mid-June have eased pressure for immediate easing or tightening, keeping probabilities for a 25 basis point move in either direction below 15 percent. Market pricing incorporates the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent approach and the limited number of meetings remaining in 2026, with any material shift in odds likely requiring a clear deviation in upcoming employment or price statistics before the decision window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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