Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
35°C 60%
34°C 38%
36°C 4%
33°C 2%
MỚI
$10,671 KL.
MỚI
$10,671 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
38%
35°C
60%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 60%
34°C 38%
36°C 4%
33°C 2%
MỚI
$10,671 KL.
MỚI
$10,671 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
$222 KL.
<1%
31°C
$295 KL.
<1%
32°C
$685 KL.
<1%
33°C
$1,396 KL.
2%
34°C
$1,722 KL.
38%
35°C
$2,273 KL.
60%
36°C
$1,196 KL.
4%
37°C
$345 KL.
<1%
38°C
$526 KL.
<1%
39°C
$1,396 KL.
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,671Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,671Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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