NWS Austin/San Antonio forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny, hot conditions with highs near 102°F for August 18, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. This setup aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on 100-101°F, as recent runs show modest cooling from peak mid-August heat while still exceeding the 99°F seasonal average high. Dry conditions and minimal storm chances reduce variability, though small forecast shifts in afternoon maximums could favor 102-103°F bins. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom will resolve the market after the daily high is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 18?
100-101°F 51%
102-103°F 24%
104-105°F 12%
98-99°F 11%
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
51%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
12%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 51%
102-103°F 24%
104-105°F 12%
98-99°F 11%
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
51%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
12%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...NWS Austin/San Antonio forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny, hot conditions with highs near 102°F for August 18, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. This setup aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on 100-101°F, as recent runs show modest cooling from peak mid-August heat while still exceeding the 99°F seasonal average high. Dry conditions and minimal storm chances reduce variability, though small forecast shifts in afternoon maximums could favor 102-103°F bins. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom will resolve the market after the daily high is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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