National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 102-103°F as the leading outcome for Austin on August 20, with models indicating a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence, and daytime heating under typical late-summer insolation. This aligns with climatological peaks for central Texas, where average August highs near 95°F can exceed 100°F during such patterns, though recent model runs show slight cooling from upstream moisture advection. Traders assign secondary weight to 104-105°F, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and soil moisture feedbacks that could amplify or suppress maxima. Official guidance from NOAA updates will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 20?
102-103°F 54%
104-105°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
106-107°F 6%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
54%
104-105°F
32%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 54%
104-105°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
106-107°F 6%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
54%
104-105°F
32%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 102-103°F as the leading outcome for Austin on August 20, with models indicating a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence, and daytime heating under typical late-summer insolation. This aligns with climatological peaks for central Texas, where average August highs near 95°F can exceed 100°F during such patterns, though recent model runs show slight cooling from upstream moisture advection. Traders assign secondary weight to 104-105°F, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and soil moisture feedbacks that could amplify or suppress maxima. Official guidance from NOAA updates will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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