Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which are expected to limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Seasonal context shows August averages around 31–32°C, with a background of above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends, while recent heatwave persistence and potential tropical influences like Tropical Storm Dolphin introduce variability in steering patterns and moisture. Official daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution, with updated model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
33%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$286 KL.
<1%
27°C
$516 KL.
<1%
28°C
$95 KL.
1%
29°C
$29 KL.
5%
30°C
$113 KL.
17%
31°C
$256 KL.
35%
32°C
$98 KL.
33%
33°C
$94 KL.
14%
34°C
$126 KL.
3%
35°C
$5 KL.
2%
36°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which are expected to limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Seasonal context shows August averages around 31–32°C, with a background of above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends, while recent heatwave persistence and potential tropical influences like Tropical Storm Dolphin introduce variability in steering patterns and moisture. Official daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution, with updated model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,621Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which are expected to limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Seasonal context shows August averages around 31–32°C, with a background of above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends, while recent heatwave persistence and potential tropical influences like Tropical Storm Dolphin introduce variability in steering patterns and moisture. Official daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution, with updated model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,621Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which are expected to limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Seasonal context shows August averages around 31–32°C, with a background of above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends, while recent heatwave persistence and potential tropical influences like Tropical Storm Dolphin introduce variability in steering patterns and moisture. Official daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution, with updated model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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