Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that minimum. In August’s subtropical monsoon regime, overnight lows typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, with urban heat island effects in dense districts further moderating extremes. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event measurements eliminate model uncertainty. Only an unreported station anomaly or data revision could alter resolution, though historical August patterns and recent seasonal outlooks for near-normal temperatures reinforce this outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,201 KL.
$39,201 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,201 KL.
$39,201 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$236 KL.
No
23°C
$2,472 KL.
No
24°C
$4,214 KL.
No
25°C
$3,563 KL.
No
26°C
$7,224 KL.
No
27°C
$4,141 KL.
No
28°C
$9,912 KL.
Yes
29°C
$3,322 KL.
No
30°C
$1,726 KL.
No
31°C
$695 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$1,697 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that minimum. In August’s subtropical monsoon regime, overnight lows typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, with urban heat island effects in dense districts further moderating extremes. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event measurements eliminate model uncertainty. Only an unreported station anomaly or data revision could alter resolution, though historical August patterns and recent seasonal outlooks for near-normal temperatures reinforce this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,201Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that minimum. In August’s subtropical monsoon regime, overnight lows typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, with urban heat island effects in dense districts further moderating extremes. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event measurements eliminate model uncertainty. Only an unreported station anomaly or data revision could alter resolution, though historical August patterns and recent seasonal outlooks for near-normal temperatures reinforce this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$39,201Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that minimum. In August’s subtropical monsoon regime, overnight lows typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, with urban heat island effects in dense districts further moderating extremes. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event measurements eliminate model uncertainty. Only an unreported station anomaly or data revision could alter resolution, though historical August patterns and recent seasonal outlooks for near-normal temperatures reinforce this outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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