Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Austin will reach 103–105°F on August 21 under a persistent heat dome featuring strong high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that maximize solar heating while limiting cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the closely matched leading market outcomes of 102–103°F and 104–105°F, with the spread reflecting minor uncertainties in afternoon dew points, wind shifts, and exact insolation. Recent multi-day stretches above 102°F and warmer-than-normal seasonal outlooks reinforce trader consensus around these thresholds, though any increase in moisture or slight steering changes could shift the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 21?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 21?
102-103°F 48%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
48%
104-105°F
42%
106-107°F
8%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 48%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
93°F or below
$55 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$46 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$333 KL.
1%
98-99°F
$55 KL.
2%
100-101°F
$18 KL.
6%
102-103°F
$112 KL.
48%
104-105°F
$185 KL.
42%
106-107°F
$24 KL.
8%
108-109°F
$115 KL.
3%
110-111°F
$114 KL.
1%
112°F or higher
$134 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Austin will reach 103–105°F on August 21 under a persistent heat dome featuring strong high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that maximize solar heating while limiting cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the closely matched leading market outcomes of 102–103°F and 104–105°F, with the spread reflecting minor uncertainties in afternoon dew points, wind shifts, and exact insolation. Recent multi-day stretches above 102°F and warmer-than-normal seasonal outlooks reinforce trader consensus around these thresholds, though any increase in moisture or slight steering changes could shift the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,192Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Austin will reach 103–105°F on August 21 under a persistent heat dome featuring strong high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that maximize solar heating while limiting cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the closely matched leading market outcomes of 102–103°F and 104–105°F, with the spread reflecting minor uncertainties in afternoon dew points, wind shifts, and exact insolation. Recent multi-day stretches above 102°F and warmer-than-normal seasonal outlooks reinforce trader consensus around these thresholds, though any increase in moisture or slight steering changes could shift the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,192Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Austin will reach 103–105°F on August 21 under a persistent heat dome featuring strong high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that maximize solar heating while limiting cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the closely matched leading market outcomes of 102–103°F and 104–105°F, with the spread reflecting minor uncertainties in afternoon dew points, wind shifts, and exact insolation. Recent multi-day stretches above 102°F and warmer-than-normal seasonal outlooks reinforce trader consensus around these thresholds, though any increase in moisture or slight steering changes could shift the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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