**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature near 14°C in Buenos Aires on September 16, 2026, under easterly winds and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime warming.** This places the day below the long-term September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Stable high pressure and a cooler air mass have suppressed typical spring heating, with hourly data showing peaks around 12–14°C in the afternoon. Trader positioning, with 15°C at 56.5% implied probability followed by 14°C at 19.5%, reflects minor uncertainty in the precise recorded peak—potentially varying by measurement site or micro-timing—while consensus clusters tightly around these values given consistent model guidance and minimal expected variability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 16?
15°C 61%
14°C 24%
16°C 11%
13°C 5%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
24%
15°C
61%
16°C
11%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 61%
14°C 24%
16°C 11%
13°C 5%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
24%
15°C
61%
16°C
11%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature near 14°C in Buenos Aires on September 16, 2026, under easterly winds and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime warming.** This places the day below the long-term September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Stable high pressure and a cooler air mass have suppressed typical spring heating, with hourly data showing peaks around 12–14°C in the afternoon. Trader positioning, with 15°C at 56.5% implied probability followed by 14°C at 19.5%, reflects minor uncertainty in the precise recorded peak—potentially varying by measurement site or micro-timing—while consensus clusters tightly around these values given consistent model guidance and minimal expected variability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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