Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 82–84°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by southwest winds advecting modestly warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon thunderstorm chances around 30–40% potentially limiting peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This consensus aligns with late-August climatology (normal high ~81–82°F) and positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 29.5%. Lake moderation and limited instability keep odds for 86°F+ below 20%, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
84-85°F 49%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 13%
80-81°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 49%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 13%
80-81°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
75°F or below
$108 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$36 KL.
2%
78-79°F
$552 KL.
2%
80-81°F
$165 KL.
6%
82-83°F
$197 KL.
30%
84-85°F
$560 KL.
49%
86-87°F
$108 KL.
13%
88-89°F
$98 KL.
3%
90-91°F
$73 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$188 KL.
<1%
94°F or higher
$388 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 82–84°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by southwest winds advecting modestly warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon thunderstorm chances around 30–40% potentially limiting peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This consensus aligns with late-August climatology (normal high ~81–82°F) and positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 29.5%. Lake moderation and limited instability keep odds for 86°F+ below 20%, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,473Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 82–84°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by southwest winds advecting modestly warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon thunderstorm chances around 30–40% potentially limiting peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This consensus aligns with late-August climatology (normal high ~81–82°F) and positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 29.5%. Lake moderation and limited instability keep odds for 86°F+ below 20%, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,473Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 82–84°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by southwest winds advecting modestly warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon thunderstorm chances around 30–40% potentially limiting peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This consensus aligns with late-August climatology (normal high ~81–82°F) and positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 29.5%. Lake moderation and limited instability keep odds for 86°F+ below 20%, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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