Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a post-frontal regime for Chicago on August 27, with northwest to northeast winds and mostly sunny skies favoring a high near 80°F after Wednesday’s storms. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 80-81°F, reflecting observed cooling from prior southerly flow and seasonal norms around 81°F. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover supports the secondary 78-79°F and 82-83°F bins, while the low probability of extremes matches the absence of heat advection or strong insolation anomalies in current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 27?
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
74-75°F 5%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
74-75°F 5%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a post-frontal regime for Chicago on August 27, with northwest to northeast winds and mostly sunny skies favoring a high near 80°F after Wednesday’s storms. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 80-81°F, reflecting observed cooling from prior southerly flow and seasonal norms around 81°F. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover supports the secondary 78-79°F and 82-83°F bins, while the low probability of extremes matches the absence of heat advection or strong insolation anomalies in current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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