Recent National Meteorological Center and international model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 8, driven by strong solar insolation under partly cloudy subtropical monsoon conditions, limited precipitation, and the urban heat-island effect amplifying surface temperatures in the densely built city. Ensemble guidance from sources including AccuWeather and the China Meteorological Administration clusters daily highs in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius, with modest upward revisions possible if afternoon cloud cover remains suppressed. Historical August climatology shows typical peaks of 33–35°C, so the current elevated guidance accounts for the market-implied concentration on 38°C while leaving room for 37°C or 39°C depending on final observational adjustments and boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the next official forecast update for any shifts in steering patterns or convective development before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 8?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 8?
38°C 56%
37°C 24%
39°C 11%
36°C 1.3%
MỚI
$20,977 KL.
MỚI
$20,977 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
24%
38°C
56%
39°C
11%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 56%
37°C 24%
39°C 11%
36°C 1.3%
MỚI
$20,977 KL.
MỚI
$20,977 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$1,039 KL.
<1%
32°C
$1,057 KL.
<1%
33°C
$824 KL.
<1%
34°C
$994 KL.
<1%
35°C
$882 KL.
1%
36°C
$1,591 KL.
1%
37°C
$2,519 KL.
24%
38°C
$4,975 KL.
56%
39°C
$1,976 KL.
11%
40°C
$2,608 KL.
1%
41°C or higher
$2,512 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center and international model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 8, driven by strong solar insolation under partly cloudy subtropical monsoon conditions, limited precipitation, and the urban heat-island effect amplifying surface temperatures in the densely built city. Ensemble guidance from sources including AccuWeather and the China Meteorological Administration clusters daily highs in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius, with modest upward revisions possible if afternoon cloud cover remains suppressed. Historical August climatology shows typical peaks of 33–35°C, so the current elevated guidance accounts for the market-implied concentration on 38°C while leaving room for 37°C or 39°C depending on final observational adjustments and boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the next official forecast update for any shifts in steering patterns or convective development before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,977Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center and international model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 8, driven by strong solar insolation under partly cloudy subtropical monsoon conditions, limited precipitation, and the urban heat-island effect amplifying surface temperatures in the densely built city. Ensemble guidance from sources including AccuWeather and the China Meteorological Administration clusters daily highs in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius, with modest upward revisions possible if afternoon cloud cover remains suppressed. Historical August climatology shows typical peaks of 33–35°C, so the current elevated guidance accounts for the market-implied concentration on 38°C while leaving room for 37°C or 39°C depending on final observational adjustments and boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the next official forecast update for any shifts in steering patterns or convective development before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$20,977Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Meteorological Center and international model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 8, driven by strong solar insolation under partly cloudy subtropical monsoon conditions, limited precipitation, and the urban heat-island effect amplifying surface temperatures in the densely built city. Ensemble guidance from sources including AccuWeather and the China Meteorological Administration clusters daily highs in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius, with modest upward revisions possible if afternoon cloud cover remains suppressed. Historical August climatology shows typical peaks of 33–35°C, so the current elevated guidance accounts for the market-implied concentration on 38°C while leaving room for 37°C or 39°C depending on final observational adjustments and boundary-layer moisture. Traders are monitoring the next official forecast update for any shifts in steering patterns or convective development before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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