Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 2?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$323,712 KL.
$323,712 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$323,712 KL.
$323,712 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
27°C or below
$7,760 KL.
No
28°C
$4,468 KL.
No
29°C
$11,442 KL.
No
30°C
$29,566 KL.
No
31°C
$54,412 KL.
No
32°C
$63,586 KL.
Yes
33°C
$77,280 KL.
No
34°C
$43,071 KL.
No
35°C
$15,916 KL.
No
36°C
$9,262 KL.
No
37°C or higher
$6,949 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$323,712Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$323,712Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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