Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a maximum temperature of 28–32°C in Jinan on September 24 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. This consensus, supported by observed surface conditions and ensemble runs showing limited cooling potential, underpins the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical late-September averages near 25–27°C provide context for the elevated outlook. A realistic shift below 26°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on September 24?
Highest temperature in Jinan on September 24?
26°C or higher 98%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
24°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
24°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
$0 KL.
3%
17°C
$0 KL.
3%
18°C
$0 KL.
2%
19°C
$0 KL.
2%
20°C
$0 KL.
2%
21°C
$0 KL.
2%
22°C
$0 KL.
4%
23°C
$0 KL.
4%
24°C
$0 KL.
4%
25°C
$0 KL.
2%
26°C or higher
$1,212 KL.
98%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a maximum temperature of 28–32°C in Jinan on September 24 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. This consensus, supported by observed surface conditions and ensemble runs showing limited cooling potential, underpins the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical late-September averages near 25–27°C provide context for the elevated outlook. A realistic shift below 26°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,212Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a maximum temperature of 28–32°C in Jinan on September 24 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. This consensus, supported by observed surface conditions and ensemble runs showing limited cooling potential, underpins the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical late-September averages near 25–27°C provide context for the elevated outlook. A realistic shift below 26°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,212Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a maximum temperature of 28–32°C in Jinan on September 24 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. This consensus, supported by observed surface conditions and ensemble runs showing limited cooling potential, underpins the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical late-September averages near 25–27°C provide context for the elevated outlook. A realistic shift below 26°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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