A persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds and fog along the Southern California coast has limited daytime solar heating at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the primary observation site, keeping the daily high anchored in the mid-70s. National Weather Service forecasts highlight light west-southwest onshore flow and gradual afternoon clearing that caps temperatures near 76°F, consistent with August climatology for the marine-influenced coastal plain where average highs hover around 77°F. Trader consensus assigns 62% implied probability to 76-77°F and 29.5% to 78-79°F, reflecting model agreement on modest warming if the layer thins earlier than expected, while lower-probability bins account for residual uncertainty in cloud cover timing and wind strength ahead of the day's official maximum reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 16?
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
62%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
62%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds and fog along the Southern California coast has limited daytime solar heating at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the primary observation site, keeping the daily high anchored in the mid-70s. National Weather Service forecasts highlight light west-southwest onshore flow and gradual afternoon clearing that caps temperatures near 76°F, consistent with August climatology for the marine-influenced coastal plain where average highs hover around 77°F. Trader consensus assigns 62% implied probability to 76-77°F and 29.5% to 78-79°F, reflecting model agreement on modest warming if the layer thins earlier than expected, while lower-probability bins account for residual uncertainty in cloud cover timing and wind strength ahead of the day's official maximum reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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