Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate even in midsummer, with August climatological averages around 23–24°C. Persistent rainy-season conditions—cloud cover, humidity, and frequent afternoon convection—further limit heating by reducing solar insolation and triggering evaporative cooling. Current model guidance for August 16 points to a daily maximum near 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with possible late-day showers, positioning 26°C as the modal outcome. Recent numerical weather runs show little spread around this range, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 25–27°C while assigning only modest odds to outliers above 28°C or below 24°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 16?
26°C 55%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
22%
26°C
55%
27°C
21%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 55%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
22%
26°C
55%
27°C
21%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate even in midsummer, with August climatological averages around 23–24°C. Persistent rainy-season conditions—cloud cover, humidity, and frequent afternoon convection—further limit heating by reducing solar insolation and triggering evaporative cooling. Current model guidance for August 16 points to a daily maximum near 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with possible late-day showers, positioning 26°C as the modal outcome. Recent numerical weather runs show little spread around this range, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 25–27°C while assigning only modest odds to outliers above 28°C or below 24°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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