Recent forecasts from models and agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services point to a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley, supporting afternoon highs near 36–37°C in Milan on July 8, with the market splitting probability between these two outcomes. Key variables include the strength of subsidence warming, limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating, and potential localized effects from urban heat island amplification or weak easterly flow. Minor shifts in steering patterns or earlier convection could cap the peak at 36°C or push it to 38°C, while historical July extremes and current model spread keep longer tails thin. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these contours ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on July 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 8?
36°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$59,970 KL.
$59,970 KL.
Jul 8, 2026
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$59,970 KL.
$59,970 KL.
Jul 8, 2026
33°C or below
$4,260 KL.
No
34°C
$9,715 KL.
No
35°C
$8,260 KL.
No
36°C
$10,994 KL.
Yes
37°C
$8,403 KL.
No
38°C
$6,564 KL.
No
39°C
$3,642 KL.
No
40°C
$2,205 KL.
No
41°C
$2,095 KL.
No
42°C
$1,685 KL.
No
43°C or higher
$2,145 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services point to a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley, supporting afternoon highs near 36–37°C in Milan on July 8, with the market splitting probability between these two outcomes. Key variables include the strength of subsidence warming, limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating, and potential localized effects from urban heat island amplification or weak easterly flow. Minor shifts in steering patterns or earlier convection could cap the peak at 36°C or push it to 38°C, while historical July extremes and current model spread keep longer tails thin. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these contours ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59,970Ngày kết thúc
Jul 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services point to a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley, supporting afternoon highs near 36–37°C in Milan on July 8, with the market splitting probability between these two outcomes. Key variables include the strength of subsidence warming, limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating, and potential localized effects from urban heat island amplification or weak easterly flow. Minor shifts in steering patterns or earlier convection could cap the peak at 36°C or push it to 38°C, while historical July extremes and current model spread keep longer tails thin. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these contours ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$59,970Ngày kết thúc
Jul 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent forecasts from models and agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services point to a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley, supporting afternoon highs near 36–37°C in Milan on July 8, with the market splitting probability between these two outcomes. Key variables include the strength of subsidence warming, limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating, and potential localized effects from urban heat island amplification or weak easterly flow. Minor shifts in steering patterns or earlier convection could cap the peak at 36°C or push it to 38°C, while historical July extremes and current model spread keep longer tails thin. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these contours ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp