Latest GFS and regional model consensus from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia points to a daytime high of 17–18 °C in Moscow on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This pattern follows several days of 18–19 °C readings and reflects typical mid-September cooling as solar insolation declines and cooler maritime air displaces residual summer warmth. Northerly winds and stable high pressure limit daytime mixing and cloud cover keeps maximum temperatures from exceeding the seasonal norm of roughly 16–17 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (44 %) over 19 °C (34 %) align with this guidance, while the modest probability on 17 °C captures residual model spread. Final resolution will hinge on official observations tomorrow morning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 15?
18°C 45%
19°C 34%
17°C 16%
20°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
16%
18°C
45%
19°C
34%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 45%
19°C 34%
17°C 16%
20°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
13°C or below
$27 KL.
1%
14°C
$1 KL.
1%
15°C
$71 KL.
1%
16°C
$98 KL.
4%
17°C
$212 KL.
16%
18°C
$295 KL.
45%
19°C
$378 KL.
34%
20°C
$98 KL.
5%
21°C
$11 KL.
1%
22°C
$19 KL.
1%
23°C or higher
$199 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest GFS and regional model consensus from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia points to a daytime high of 17–18 °C in Moscow on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This pattern follows several days of 18–19 °C readings and reflects typical mid-September cooling as solar insolation declines and cooler maritime air displaces residual summer warmth. Northerly winds and stable high pressure limit daytime mixing and cloud cover keeps maximum temperatures from exceeding the seasonal norm of roughly 16–17 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (44 %) over 19 °C (34 %) align with this guidance, while the modest probability on 17 °C captures residual model spread. Final resolution will hinge on official observations tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,411Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest GFS and regional model consensus from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia points to a daytime high of 17–18 °C in Moscow on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This pattern follows several days of 18–19 °C readings and reflects typical mid-September cooling as solar insolation declines and cooler maritime air displaces residual summer warmth. Northerly winds and stable high pressure limit daytime mixing and cloud cover keeps maximum temperatures from exceeding the seasonal norm of roughly 16–17 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (44 %) over 19 °C (34 %) align with this guidance, while the modest probability on 17 °C captures residual model spread. Final resolution will hinge on official observations tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,411Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and regional model consensus from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia points to a daytime high of 17–18 °C in Moscow on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This pattern follows several days of 18–19 °C readings and reflects typical mid-September cooling as solar insolation declines and cooler maritime air displaces residual summer warmth. Northerly winds and stable high pressure limit daytime mixing and cloud cover keeps maximum temperatures from exceeding the seasonal norm of roughly 16–17 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (44 %) over 19 °C (34 %) align with this guidance, while the modest probability on 17 °C captures residual model spread. Final resolution will hinge on official observations tomorrow morning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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