Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 18?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$38,954 KL.
$38,954 KL.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$38,954 KL.
$38,954 KL.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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