The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 12?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,748 KL.
$61,748 KL.
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,748 KL.
$61,748 KL.
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
$1,333 KL.
No
17°C
$2,892 KL.
No
18°C
$3,892 KL.
No
19°C
$6,223 KL.
No
20°C
$28,133 KL.
No
21°C
$8,313 KL.
Yes
22°C
$3,586 KL.
No
23°C
$1,645 KL.
No
24°C
$2,005 KL.
No
25°C
$3,211 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$513 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$61,748Ngày kết thúc
Jun 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$61,748Ngày kết thúc
Jun 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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