Kansas's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race after Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly reached her term limit. The state’s partisan lean, reflected in its 2024 presidential margin and consistent Republican performance in down-ballot contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67 percent. Primary filing closed June 1, 2026, with Senate President Ty Masterson emerging as the clearest Republican frontrunner after securing an endorsement from President Trump; Democrats face a more fragmented field led by state senators Cindy Holscher and Ethan Corson ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Republican, citing structural barriers to a third consecutive Democratic win. Limited early polling and the absence of general-election matchups keep probabilities sensitive to nominee selection and any shifts in turnout patterns between now and November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
67%
Democrat
31%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$2,544 KL.
67%
Democrat
$4,517 KL.
31%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race after Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly reached her term limit. The state’s partisan lean, reflected in its 2024 presidential margin and consistent Republican performance in down-ballot contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67 percent. Primary filing closed June 1, 2026, with Senate President Ty Masterson emerging as the clearest Republican frontrunner after securing an endorsement from President Trump; Democrats face a more fragmented field led by state senators Cindy Holscher and Ethan Corson ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Republican, citing structural barriers to a third consecutive Democratic win. Limited early polling and the absence of general-election matchups keep probabilities sensitive to nominee selection and any shifts in turnout patterns between now and November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,061Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race after Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly reached her term limit. The state’s partisan lean, reflected in its 2024 presidential margin and consistent Republican performance in down-ballot contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67 percent. Primary filing closed June 1, 2026, with Senate President Ty Masterson emerging as the clearest Republican frontrunner after securing an endorsement from President Trump; Democrats face a more fragmented field led by state senators Cindy Holscher and Ethan Corson ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Republican, citing structural barriers to a third consecutive Democratic win. Limited early polling and the absence of general-election matchups keep probabilities sensitive to nominee selection and any shifts in turnout patterns between now and November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$7,061Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race after Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly reached her term limit. The state’s partisan lean, reflected in its 2024 presidential margin and consistent Republican performance in down-ballot contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67 percent. Primary filing closed June 1, 2026, with Senate President Ty Masterson emerging as the clearest Republican frontrunner after securing an endorsement from President Trump; Democrats face a more fragmented field led by state senators Cindy Holscher and Ethan Corson ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Republican, citing structural barriers to a third consecutive Democratic win. Limited early polling and the absence of general-election matchups keep probabilities sensitive to nominee selection and any shifts in turnout patterns between now and November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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