**Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show the overnight minimum in Ankara on September 17 clustered between roughly 13–16 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins.** Cloud cover and light showers expected from an approaching frontal system will limit radiative cooling compared with clear-sky nights, while surface winds and dew-point values near 12–14 °C further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance currently lists 13 °C, aligning with the lower-probability outcomes traders are pricing at 21 %. Historical September lows for the city average near 12–14 °C, so the current spread largely reflects model timing differences on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale regime shifts. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations through September 16 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
16°C 39%
14°C 31%
13°C 21%
15°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
21%
14°C
31%
15°C
21%
16°C
39%
17°C
19%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
5%
16°C 39%
14°C 31%
13°C 21%
15°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
$0 KL.
9%
12°C
$0 KL.
11%
13°C
$0 KL.
21%
14°C
$0 KL.
31%
15°C
$0 KL.
21%
16°C
$0 KL.
39%
17°C
$0 KL.
19%
18°C
$0 KL.
11%
19°C
$0 KL.
7%
20°C
$0 KL.
5%
21°C or higher
$0 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show the overnight minimum in Ankara on September 17 clustered between roughly 13–16 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins.**
Cloud cover and light showers expected from an approaching frontal system will limit radiative cooling compared with clear-sky nights, while surface winds and dew-point values near 12–14 °C further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance currently lists 13 °C, aligning with the lower-probability outcomes traders are pricing at 21 %. Historical September lows for the city average near 12–14 °C, so the current spread largely reflects model timing differences on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale regime shifts. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations through September 16 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show the overnight minimum in Ankara on September 17 clustered between roughly 13–16 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins.**
Cloud cover and light showers expected from an approaching frontal system will limit radiative cooling compared with clear-sky nights, while surface winds and dew-point values near 12–14 °C further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance currently lists 13 °C, aligning with the lower-probability outcomes traders are pricing at 21 %. Historical September lows for the city average near 12–14 °C, so the current spread largely reflects model timing differences on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale regime shifts. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations through September 16 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show the overnight minimum in Ankara on September 17 clustered between roughly 13–16 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins.** Cloud cover and light showers expected from an approaching frontal system will limit radiative cooling compared with clear-sky nights, while surface winds and dew-point values near 12–14 °C further constrain how low temperatures can fall. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance currently lists 13 °C, aligning with the lower-probability outcomes traders are pricing at 21 %. Historical September lows for the city average near 12–14 °C, so the current spread largely reflects model timing differences on precipitation and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale regime shifts. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations through September 16 will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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