Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C in Ankara on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Daytime highs near 23–25°C reflect typical September insolation, but the overnight drop depends on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in predicted dew points and wind speeds, creating the observed tight clustering of market-implied odds around mid-single-digit to low-double-digit outcomes. Traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coldest hour.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
5°C or below 92%
15°C or higher 87%
6°C 39%
13°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
5°C or below
92%
6°C
39%
7°C
21%
8°C
23%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C or higher
87%
5°C or below 92%
15°C or higher 87%
6°C 39%
13°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
5°C or below
$10 KL.
92%
6°C
$10 KL.
39%
7°C
$0 KL.
21%
8°C
$0 KL.
23%
9°C
$0 KL.
22%
10°C
$0 KL.
22%
11°C
$0 KL.
22%
12°C
$0 KL.
21%
13°C
$10 KL.
39%
14°C
$10 KL.
39%
15°C or higher
$10 KL.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C in Ankara on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Daytime highs near 23–25°C reflect typical September insolation, but the overnight drop depends on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in predicted dew points and wind speeds, creating the observed tight clustering of market-implied odds around mid-single-digit to low-double-digit outcomes. Traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coldest hour.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C in Ankara on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Daytime highs near 23–25°C reflect typical September insolation, but the overnight drop depends on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in predicted dew points and wind speeds, creating the observed tight clustering of market-implied odds around mid-single-digit to low-double-digit outcomes. Traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coldest hour.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C in Ankara on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds and low humidity. Daytime highs near 23–25°C reflect typical September insolation, but the overnight drop depends on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in predicted dew points and wind speeds, creating the observed tight clustering of market-implied odds around mid-single-digit to low-double-digit outcomes. Traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the coldest hour.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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