Recent National Meteorological Service model consensus and observational trends show a cooling shift for Ankara on September 14 driven by strengthening westerly winds and a modest influx of cooler maritime air, following peak highs near 33°C on September 13. This positions 26°C as the leading outcome with 45.5% market-implied odds, consistent with ensemble forecasts projecting a daily maximum in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Historical September baselines average 26–27°C highs, with low variability this late in the warm season unless a stronger front develops. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs heavily, as any last-minute model adjustment or measurement variance at official stations could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C contracts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
26°C 44%
25°C 27%
27°C 25%
28°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
27%
26°C
44%
27°C
25%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 44%
25°C 27%
27°C 25%
28°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$344 KL.
<1%
23°C
$273 KL.
1%
24°C
$312 KL.
1%
25°C
$1,284 KL.
27%
26°C
$486 KL.
44%
27°C
$809 KL.
25%
28°C
$352 KL.
5%
29°C
$142 KL.
1%
30°C
$145 KL.
<1%
31°C
$145 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$145 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Service model consensus and observational trends show a cooling shift for Ankara on September 14 driven by strengthening westerly winds and a modest influx of cooler maritime air, following peak highs near 33°C on September 13. This positions 26°C as the leading outcome with 45.5% market-implied odds, consistent with ensemble forecasts projecting a daily maximum in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Historical September baselines average 26–27°C highs, with low variability this late in the warm season unless a stronger front develops. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs heavily, as any last-minute model adjustment or measurement variance at official stations could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,662Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Service model consensus and observational trends show a cooling shift for Ankara on September 14 driven by strengthening westerly winds and a modest influx of cooler maritime air, following peak highs near 33°C on September 13. This positions 26°C as the leading outcome with 45.5% market-implied odds, consistent with ensemble forecasts projecting a daily maximum in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Historical September baselines average 26–27°C highs, with low variability this late in the warm season unless a stronger front develops. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs heavily, as any last-minute model adjustment or measurement variance at official stations could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,662Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Meteorological Service model consensus and observational trends show a cooling shift for Ankara on September 14 driven by strengthening westerly winds and a modest influx of cooler maritime air, following peak highs near 33°C on September 13. This positions 26°C as the leading outcome with 45.5% market-implied odds, consistent with ensemble forecasts projecting a daily maximum in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Historical September baselines average 26–27°C highs, with low variability this late in the warm season unless a stronger front develops. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs heavily, as any last-minute model adjustment or measurement variance at official stations could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C contracts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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