Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show Ankara experiencing a cooling trend after peak highs near 33°C on September 13, with northerly flow and high pressure maintaining mostly clear skies. Forecasts for September 15 consistently project a daily maximum of 24–26°C, with several sources centering on 25°C amid light winds and negligible precipitation. This positions 25°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, while the spread to 24°C and 26°C reflects minor model variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual warm advection. Historical September averages for Ankara hover near 26–27°C, underscoring the current below-normal pattern driven by the recent air-mass shift. Updated model guidance through September 14 will further refine resolution criteria for the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
25°C 53%
24°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C or higher 8%
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
25%
25°C
53%
26°C
17%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
8%
25°C 53%
24°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C or higher 8%
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
25%
25°C
53%
26°C
17%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show Ankara experiencing a cooling trend after peak highs near 33°C on September 13, with northerly flow and high pressure maintaining mostly clear skies. Forecasts for September 15 consistently project a daily maximum of 24–26°C, with several sources centering on 25°C amid light winds and negligible precipitation. This positions 25°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, while the spread to 24°C and 26°C reflects minor model variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual warm advection. Historical September averages for Ankara hover near 26–27°C, underscoring the current below-normal pattern driven by the recent air-mass shift. Updated model guidance through September 14 will further refine resolution criteria for the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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